Statistics Profile

James Grass

2004

AIC Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2028	1506 - 2549	1805	2028
Foil	Direct elimination	2042	807 - 3276	2042	2143
Saber	Pool	2484	2300 - 2667	2353	2649
Saber	Direct elimination	2562	2213 - 2910	2001	2845

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.