Statistics Profile

Alan Zheng

2003

Golden State Fencing Academy OnTarget Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2342	1672 - 3011	2342	2342
Épée	Direct elimination	2155	1060 - 3249	2155	2155
Foil	Pool	2963	2794 - 3131	2781	3627
Foil	Direct elimination	3322	3143 - 3500	2098	3326

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.