Statistics Profile

Kathleen Bragg

1994

Missoula Fencing Association

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2164	1618 - 2709	2063	2164
Épée	Direct elimination	1841	647 - 3034	1841	1919
Foil	Pool	1692	1015 - 2368	1609	1692
Foil	Direct elimination	1574	524 - 2623	1574	1999

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.