Statistics Profile

Mary Turzillo

1940

On Target Fencing Team Cyranos Place

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	630	393 - 866	630	1859
Épée	Direct elimination	890	525 - 1254	890	2079
Foil	Pool	558	212 - 903	542	1150
Foil	Direct elimination	710	172 - 1247	710	2037
Saber	Pool	863	335 - 1390	863	1036
Saber	Direct elimination	1789	688 - 2889	1789	1943

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.