Statistics Profile

Raven Belliveau

2003

Sword In The Scroll Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2569	2383 - 2754	2497	3041
Épée	Direct elimination	2847	2657 - 3036	2847	3154
Foil	Pool	1294	821 - 1766	1294	1294
Foil	Direct elimination	1789	1078 - 2499	1789	1789
Saber	Pool	1773	1481 - 2064	1435	1777
Saber	Direct elimination	1856	1353 - 2358	1551	1856

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.