Statistics Profile

Stephen Olson

1999

Manchen Academy Of Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2121	1718 - 2523	2121	3370
Épée	Direct elimination	2307	1880 - 2733	2307	3318
Foil	Pool	2448	2148 - 2747	2414	3233
Foil	Direct elimination	2531	2203 - 2858	2531	2966
Saber	Pool	1971	1585 - 2356	1971	2624
Saber	Direct elimination	2382	1714 - 3049	2382	3499

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.