Statistics Profile

Stephen Olson

1999

Manchen Academy Of Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2162	1728 - 2595	2162	3370
Épée	Direct elimination	2424	1975 - 2872	2424	3318
Foil	Pool	2434	2130 - 2737	2414	3233
Foil	Direct elimination	2601	2260 - 2941	2591	2966
Saber	Pool	2016	1603 - 2428	2016	2624
Saber	Direct elimination	2745	1982 - 3507	2745	3499

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.