Statistics Profile

Marat Israelian

1986

Yale University Fencing NCAA Shoreline Fencers Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	3387	2602 - 4171	3387	3387
Épée	Direct elimination	2168	722 - 3613	2168	2168
Foil	Pool	3125	2371 - 3878	3125	3125
Foil	Direct elimination	2919	1868 - 3969	2919	2919

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.