Statistics Profile

Adam Wong

2005

New York University NCAA

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	3102	2711 - 3492	2719	3112
Épée	Direct elimination	3380	2866 - 3893	2538	3380
Foil	Pool	3172	2996 - 3347	2840	3433
Foil	Direct elimination	3527	3329 - 3724	2516	3606

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.