Statistics Profile

William Zhang

2006

Academy Of Fencing Masters (AFM) The Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1728	932 - 2523	1728	1728
Foil	Direct elimination	2335	1113 - 3556	2335	2335

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.