Statistics Profile

Sarah Ng

2006

Bergen Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2475	1905 - 3044	2475	3395
Foil	Direct elimination	2784	1985 - 3582	2784	3127
Saber	Pool	2133	1962 - 2303	2106	2661
Saber	Direct elimination	2356	2121 - 2590	1801	2444

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.