Statistics Profile

Alexandra Halm

2005

Fencing Club at Indiana University

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1850	1634 - 2065	1724	2013
Épée	Direct elimination	1731	1274 - 2187	1619	2207
Foil	Pool	1703	787 - 2618	1703	1703
Foil	Direct elimination	2105	775 - 3434	2105	2105

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.