Statistics Profile

Michael Grosse

1984

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2147	1966 - 2327	2060	2655
Épée	Direct elimination	2533	2303 - 2762	1893	2630
Foil	Pool	737	0 - 1503	737	737
Foil	Direct elimination	1738	516 - 2959	1738	1738

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.