Statistics Profile

John Simmons

2007

Fencing Academy Of Boston

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1627	1111 - 2142	1481	1627
Épée	Direct elimination	1227	256 - 2197	1227	1630
Saber	Pool	1830	1660 - 1999	1768	2294
Saber	Direct elimination	1972	1742 - 2201	1550	2198

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.