Statistics Profile

Matthew Gosmeyer

1992

Renard Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2120	1426 - 2813	1931	2120
Épée	Direct elimination	2201	1352 - 3049	1767	2201
Foil	Pool	1540	1172 - 1907	1391	1645
Foil	Direct elimination	1870	1297 - 2442	1542	2099
Saber	Pool	2184	1900 - 2467	2109	2265
Saber	Direct elimination	2418	1952 - 2883	2147	2448

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.