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Statistics Profile

Matthew Gosmeyer

1992
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Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 2120 1426 - 2813 1931 2120
Épée Direct elimination 2200 1351 - 3048 1767 2200
Foil Pool 1540 1172 - 1907 1391 1645
Foil Direct elimination 1870 1297 - 2442 1542 2099
Saber Pool 2265 1965 - 2564 2109 2265
Saber Direct elimination 2448 1969 - 2926 2147 2448

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.