Statistics Profile

Chloe Chen

2000

Bergen Fencing Club New York University NCAA

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Saber	Pool	2487	2269 - 2704	2454	2907
Saber	Direct elimination	2564	2173 - 2954	2481	2907

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.