Statistics Profile

Jared Lewis

1999

Invictus Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2314	2138 - 2489	2314	3004
Épée	Direct elimination	2362	2084 - 2639	2362	3124
Foil	Pool	2218	2019 - 2416	2218	2923
Foil	Direct elimination	2565	2282 - 2847	2547	3282

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.