Statistics Profile

Thomas Kokker

2006

Buccaneer Blades Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1501	1075 - 1926	1014	1501
Épée	Direct elimination	1363	618 - 2107	1323	1745
Foil	Pool	1488	1311 - 1664	1314	1843
Foil	Direct elimination	1661	1397 - 1924	1380	1824
Saber	Pool	2013	1458 - 2567	1939	2371
Saber	Direct elimination	2111	1346 - 2875	1671	2111

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.