Statistics Profile

Bobbie Hirsch

2003

Wayne State University NCAA Renaissance Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2083	1865 - 2300	2023	3264
Foil	Direct elimination	1878	1449 - 2306	1821	3069
Saber	Pool	1468	826 - 2109	1109	1468
Saber	Direct elimination	1536	372 - 2699	1536	1536

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.