Statistics Profile

Ava Tran

2004

United Fencing Academy Harvard-Westlake Wolverines

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2804	2626 - 2981	2649	3148
Foil	Direct elimination	2936	2716 - 3155	2920	3572

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.