Statistics Profile

Victoria Baker

2006

Kern Athletic Fencing Foundation

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2070	1848 - 2291	1984	3550
Foil	Direct elimination	2296	1912 - 2679	2280	3310
Saber	Pool	1535	1310 - 1759	1230	1718
Saber	Direct elimination	1771	1392 - 2149	1458	2125

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.