Statistics Profile

Ethan He

2007

Windy City Fencing-Chicago

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2065	1663 - 2466	1565	2065
Épée	Direct elimination	1570	745 - 2394	1570	1844
Foil	Pool	1192	372 - 2011	1192	1192
Foil	Direct elimination	2136	1059 - 3212	2136	2136

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.