Statistics Profile

Jonah Gesenberg

2004

Bucks County Academy Of Fencing University Of New Hampshire

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1889	1203 - 2574	1889	1889
Épée	Direct elimination	2029	733 - 3324	2029	2029
Foil	Pool	2184	1854 - 2513	1796	2184
Foil	Direct elimination	2186	1740 - 2631	1713	2186
Saber	Pool	1412	607 - 2216	1412	1412
Saber	Direct elimination	1907	813 - 3000	1907	1907

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.