Statistics Profile

Rhea Moran

2005

Texas Sabre Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2347	1914 - 2779	2347	2562
Épée	Direct elimination	1443	419 - 2466	1443	2079
Saber	Pool	1885	1708 - 2061	1582	2177
Saber	Direct elimination	2137	1896 - 2377	1945	2514

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.