Statistics Profile

Tyler Perlenfein

2000

Three Dragons Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1639	1365 - 1912	1572	1662
Épée	Direct elimination	2009	1582 - 2435	1857	2009
Foil	Pool	1402	1203 - 1600	1291	2216
Foil	Direct elimination	1552	1227 - 1876	1497	2421
Saber	Pool	1456	1182 - 1729	678	1456
Saber	Direct elimination	1767	1307 - 2226	1501	1798

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.