Statistics Profile

Zikun Wei

2003

No Fear Fencing RPI College Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2984	2787 - 3180	2568	3378
Épée	Direct elimination	3479	3258 - 3699	2939	3622
Foil	Pool	2398	1824 - 2971	2398	2602
Foil	Direct elimination	2352	1767 - 2936	2352	2692

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.