Statistics Profile

Emmett Belliveau

2006

Sword In The Scroll Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2128	1957 - 2298	1460	2231
Épée	Direct elimination	2215	2011 - 2418	1597	2239
Foil	Pool	1806	1190 - 2421	1806	3233
Foil	Direct elimination	1694	805 - 2582	1493	1694
Saber	Pool	1060	222 - 1897	1060	1060
Saber	Direct elimination	1527	304 - 2749	1527	1527

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.