Statistics Profile

Emmett Belliveau

2006

Sword In The Scroll Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2135	1960 - 2309	1460	2231
Épée	Direct elimination	2328	2134 - 2521	1597	2328
Foil	Pool	1686	1300 - 2071	1633	3233
Foil	Direct elimination	1678	1053 - 2302	1493	1948
Saber	Pool	1060	222 - 1897	1060	1060
Saber	Direct elimination	1527	304 - 2749	1527	1527

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.