Statistics Profile

Zachary Kofroth

2004

Wasatch Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2780	2603 - 2956	2212	2918
Épée	Direct elimination	3138	2880 - 3395	2496	3207
Foil	Pool	2547	2309 - 2784	2008	2547
Foil	Direct elimination	3071	2669 - 3472	2680	3133
Saber	Pool	2195	1079 - 3310	2195	2195
Saber	Direct elimination	2157	801 - 3512	2157	2157

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.