Statistics Profile

Clayton Olson

1995

Unity Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1843	1668 - 2017	1173	1911
Épée	Direct elimination	2136	1915 - 2356	1472	2177
Foil	Pool	1447	1241 - 1652	687	1447
Foil	Direct elimination	1849	1535 - 2162	1579	2031
Saber	Pool	1018	426 - 1609	1018	1018
Saber	Direct elimination	1532	459 - 2604	1532	1532

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.