Statistics Profile

Clayton Olson

1995

Unity Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1835	1658 - 2011	1173	1912
Épée	Direct elimination	2099	1875 - 2322	1472	2176
Foil	Pool	1448	1242 - 1653	687	1448
Foil	Direct elimination	1847	1533 - 2160	1579	2031
Saber	Pool	1018	426 - 1609	1018	1018
Saber	Direct elimination	1532	459 - 2604	1532	1532

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.