Statistics Profile

Kate Devereaux

2000

Boston College NCAA

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2686	2420 - 2951	2115	2742
Épée	Direct elimination	2558	2091 - 3024	1763	2635
Foil	Pool	2740	2550 - 2929	2389	2860
Foil	Direct elimination	2452	2137 - 2766	2438	3044

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.