Statistics Profile

Peter Irwin

2007

Florida Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2679	2490 - 2867	2335	2810
Épée	Direct elimination	2997	2818 - 3175	1978	3077
Foil	Pool	2038	1744 - 2331	1945	2496
Foil	Direct elimination	2311	1918 - 2703	1954	2311
Saber	Pool	2039	1844 - 2233	2004	3361
Saber	Direct elimination	2359	2111 - 2606	2347	2724

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.