Statistics Profile

Peter Irwin

2007

Florida Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2736	2545 - 2926	2335	2810
Épée	Direct elimination	3004	2825 - 3182	1978	3077
Foil	Pool	2038	1744 - 2331	1945	2496
Foil	Direct elimination	2308	1915 - 2700	1954	2308
Saber	Pool	2039	1844 - 2233	2004	3361
Saber	Direct elimination	2358	2110 - 2605	2347	2724

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.