Statistics Profile

Jenna Waibel

2000

Vassar College Fencing Club NCAA

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2740	2422 - 3057	2601	2763
Épée	Direct elimination	2853	1952 - 3753	2853	2914
Foil	Pool	2079	1485 - 2672	2079	2079
Foil	Direct elimination	2280	1124 - 3435	2280	2280

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.