Statistics Profile

Josias Bracelis

1991

Fencers Club Inc.

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2585	2270 - 2899	2298	3053
Épée	Direct elimination	2939	2455 - 3422	2394	2939
Foil	Pool	2124	1271 - 2976	2124	2124
Foil	Direct elimination	2764	1787 - 3740	2624	2764
Saber	Pool	2337	1825 - 2848	2143	2442
Saber	Direct elimination	1458	412 - 2503	1458	1725

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.