Statistics Profile

John Prijatel

1991

Xavier University Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2234	2057 - 2410	2166	2366
Épée	Direct elimination	2249	2048 - 2449	1924	2323
Foil	Pool	1304	1055 - 1552	1287	1785
Foil	Direct elimination	1530	1085 - 1974	1354	1999
Saber	Pool	2182	1427 - 2936	2182	2182
Saber	Direct elimination	2344	1326 - 3361	2344	2344

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.