Statistics Profile

Nayen Ayala

2007

Texas Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1944	1752 - 2135	1696	2108
Épée	Direct elimination	1883	1525 - 2240	1847	2256
Foil	Pool	1281	462 - 2099	1281	1281
Foil	Direct elimination	2637	1489 - 3784	2637	2637
Saber	Pool	1798	1433 - 2162	1798	2330
Saber	Direct elimination	2117	1392 - 2841	2093	2117

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.