Statistics Profile

Nicholas Reeder

2002

Tidewater Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1960	1730 - 2189	1106	1973
Foil	Direct elimination	2142	1820 - 2463	2074	2974
Saber	Pool	2257	1771 - 2742	2257	2382
Saber	Direct elimination	1968	1074 - 2861	1968	2099

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.