Statistics Profile

David Smith

2002

Fencing Academy Of Denver

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2020	1238 - 2801	2020	2020
Épée	Direct elimination	2068	755 - 3380	2068	2068
Saber	Pool	2991	2821 - 3160	2851	3088
Saber	Direct elimination	3276	3082 - 3469	2596	3288

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.