Statistics Profile

Abigail Whitesides

2006

Wasatch Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1178	626 - 1729	1094	1881
Épée	Direct elimination	1639	583 - 2694	1639	1991
Foil	Pool	1848	1506 - 2189	1848	2179
Foil	Direct elimination	2071	1452 - 2689	1963	2101
Saber	Pool	1850	1672 - 2027	1354	2136
Saber	Direct elimination	2056	1788 - 2323	2056	2464

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.