Statistics Profile

Ella Whitesides

2004

Wasatch Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2303	2053 - 2552	2131	2303
Épée	Direct elimination	2219	1833 - 2604	2219	2578
Foil	Pool	2112	1915 - 2308	1808	2195
Foil	Direct elimination	1999	1629 - 2368	1603	2118
Saber	Pool	2256	991 - 3520	2256	2256

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.