Statistics Profile

Tobyn Dessauer

2001

Northwest Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2504	2332 - 2675	2369	3051
Épée	Direct elimination	2837	2636 - 3037	2311	2898
Foil	Pool	1614	1281 - 1946	1493	1721
Foil	Direct elimination	1987	1439 - 2534	1454	2135
Saber	Pool	2351	2163 - 2538	2211	2426
Saber	Direct elimination	2336	2105 - 2566	2174	2388

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.