Statistics Profile

Lily Papadakis

2005

Penta Olympic Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2675	2505 - 2844	2279	2854
Épée	Direct elimination	3109	2937 - 3280	2112	3136
Foil	Pool	3065	2869 - 3260	2669	3123
Foil	Direct elimination	2786	2494 - 3077	2260	2896

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.