Statistics Profile

Michael DeSando

2000

Mission Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2613	2142 - 3083	2515	2668
Épée	Direct elimination	2752	2115 - 3388	1933	3018
Foil	Pool	2889	2707 - 3070	2747	3099
Foil	Direct elimination	3209	3021 - 3396	1823	3288
Saber	Pool	1997	1169 - 2824	1997	1997
Saber	Direct elimination	2353	1155 - 3550	2353	2353

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.