Statistics Profile

Jackson Richards

2007

NMFC/Duke City Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2231	2066 - 2395	2085	2422
Épée	Direct elimination	2627	2455 - 2798	2233	2668
Foil	Pool	2041	1787 - 2294	1868	2163
Foil	Direct elimination	1832	1268 - 2395	1674	2161
Saber	Pool	2138	1944 - 2331	1770	2138
Saber	Direct elimination	2298	1962 - 2633	1646	2298

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.