Statistics Profile

Rocco Mathews

2003

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1560	768 - 2351	1560	1560
Épée	Direct elimination	3013	2029 - 3996	3013	3013
Foil	Pool	2602	2431 - 2772	1415	2985
Foil	Direct elimination	2608	2310 - 2905	1931	2819

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.