Statistics Profile

Valerie Avva

1997

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2606	1862 - 3349	2606	2606
Épée	Direct elimination	2309	1193 - 3424	2309	2309
Foil	Pool	1856	939 - 2772	1856	2216
Foil	Direct elimination	3168	1868 - 4467	2921	3168

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.