Statistics Profile

Liam Marshall

2001

Dunedin Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1868	623 - 3112	1868	1868
Foil	Direct elimination	1876	530 - 3221	1876	1876
Saber	Pool	1838	1044 - 2631	1838	1838
Saber	Direct elimination	2122	753 - 3490	2122	2122

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.