Statistics Profile

Alexander Stoddard

1977

Caliburn Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1508	718 - 2297	1508	1508
Foil	Pool	1786	1239 - 2332	1786	1786
Foil	Direct elimination	1869	1002 - 2735	1751	1869
Saber	Pool	1576	805 - 2346	1576	1576
Saber	Direct elimination	2802	1724 - 3879	2802	2802

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.