Statistics Profile

Alex Knoepffler

2006

Masters Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2469	2224 - 2713	2469	2968
Épée	Direct elimination	3087	2725 - 3448	3023	3381
Foil	Pool	2538	2363 - 2712	2538	3041
Foil	Direct elimination	2714	2512 - 2915	2325	3243

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.