Statistics Profile

Alexander Krolewski

2009

Worcester Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1646	904 - 2387	1646	1646
Épée	Direct elimination	1956	970 - 2941	1956	1956
Foil	Pool	1718	1545 - 1890	1304	3211
Foil	Direct elimination	1932	1744 - 2119	1194	1957

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.