Statistics Profile

Madeline Long

2004

Apex Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2044	1842 - 2245	1793	2403
Épée	Direct elimination	2439	2097 - 2780	2438	2995
Foil	Pool	2293	2116 - 2469	2290	2621
Foil	Direct elimination	2546	2347 - 2744	1836	2677
Saber	Pool	1632	918 - 2345	1632	1632
Saber	Direct elimination	1916	993 - 2838	1916	1916

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.