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Statistics Profile

Madeline Long

2004
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Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 2044 1842 - 2245 1793 2403
Épée Direct elimination 2439 2097 - 2780 2438 2995
Foil Pool 2293 2116 - 2469 2290 2621
Foil Direct elimination 2546 2347 - 2744 1836 2677
Saber Pool 1632 918 - 2345 1632 1632
Saber Direct elimination 1916 993 - 2838 1916 1916

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.