Statistics Profile

Andrew Park

2000

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	3124	2342 - 3905	3116	3124
Épée	Direct elimination	2593	1546 - 3639	2593	2593
Foil	Pool	1876	1356 - 2395	1876	1876
Foil	Direct elimination	1691	502 - 2879	1691	1691

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.